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In order to understand the extent of the changes, I didn’t tidy up the Rosstat reports for 20 years, but took some fresh economic studies (RBC. Rating, Forbes), as well as the annual Expert-400 rating (2012). And that’s what I found out. In recent decades, oddly enough, the leader in the pace of modernization was not the oil industry, but the iron and steel industry. And then the auto industry just goes - he managed to rebuild thanks to the active policy of the state.
Industrial assembly, which at first was not scolded by the lazy, created a completely new industry in Russia. If seven years ago the share of foreign cars in the market was less than half of total sales, now they account for over 70%. Three quarters of these cars are assembled in Russia. In 2011, we produced more than 1 million cars of foreign brands!
The second series of industrial assembly agreements, according to Deputy Minister of Industry and Trade Alexei Rakhmanov, will give an impetus not only to the emergence of larger enterprises (over 300 thousand cars per year), but also to the emergence of normal suppliers of components. Investments in “spare parts” by 2020 will amount to at least $ 5 billion. According to forecasts, during this time three or four large factories of engines and gearboxes, and many other industries will appear. By 2020, Russia will start producing over 3 million cars a year.
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But even now ahead are those companies that have managed to establish production in the Russian Federation (car assembly, component). Among the 46 engineering companies in the Expert-400 rating, we counted one and a half dozen car manufacturers. Another eight companies from the list of four hundred are the leading suppliers of components, representatives of retail chains selling cars. Five companies were included in the twenty most dynamically developing last year: Nissan Manufecuring Rus (growth rate 363.8%), Scania-Rus (+ 192%), GM Auto (+ 126%), Volvo East "(+ 102%) and PSMA Rus" (Peugeot, Citroen, Mitsubishi, + 87.3%). Almost all the leading workers showed significant growth over the past financial year and went up in the ranking.
The industry still has reserves of growth, and considerable ones. Firstly, the level of motorization in Russia is still much lower than even in the countries of Eastern Europe (270 cars per thousand inhabitants against 400-450). Secondly, foreign companies are only deploying capacities in Russia, counting not only on its needs, but also on the markets of neighboring countries: first the CIS, then Eastern Europe, Asia. In a word, there are prospects.